Last week’s economic news included several housing-related reports
including the Housing Market Index (HMI) for March, a report on housing
starts, and building permits for February.

The National Association of REALTORS® also released its Existing Home
Sales report for February and the Federal Reserve issued its first FOMC
statement under the helm of Fed Chair Janet Yellen.
Home Builders Conservative On Housing Market Conditions
The National Association of Home Builders Wells Fargo Housing Market
Index rose by one point to a reading of 47 in March against a reading of
46 in February and against an expected reading of 50. Readings above 50
signify that more builders have a positive view of housing market
conditions than not.
Conditions contributing to the sluggish reading included a lack of
lots for development and labor shortages. The NAHB also cited rising
home prices and mortgage rates as reasons for builders’ conservative
outlook.
Commerce Department: Housing Starts And Building Permits
The U.S. Commerce Department released reports on Housing Starts and
Building Permits Issued for February. Housing starts dipped to 907,000
in February against expectations of 908,000 expected housing starts and
January’s reading of 909,000 housing starts. Severe winter weather froze
construction and transport of building supplies.
Building permits issued increased to 1.02 million on a seasonally
adjusted basis against January’s reading of 945,000 building permits
issued.
February’s reading represents a 7.70 percent increase over January’s
permits issued and was attributed to a sharp rise in plans for
condominiums and rental housing projects.
407,000 permits for multi-unit buildings were issued in February and
represented a 24.3 percent increase on an annualized basis. Analysts saw
the increase in building permits as a sign that construction will pick
up as warmer weather arrives.
Existing Home Sales Fall, Rising Home Prices And Mortgage Guidelines Cited
The National Association of REALTORS® reported a decrease of 0.40
percent in sales of existing homes from January’s reading. February’s
reading of 4.60 million homes sold on a seasonally-adjusted annual basis
was lower than January’s reading of 4.62 million existing homes sold,
but exceeded expectations of 4.58 million existing homes sold.
Analysts identified familiar causes such as high mortgage rates and
home prices, bad weather and a short supply of available homes for the
dip in existing home sales. New standards for “qualified mortgages”
became effective in January and were seen as a possible obstacle to
would-be home buyers as mortgage lenders keep a tight rein on mortgage
credit policies.
Federal Open Market Committee Statement Details $10 Billion Dollar Change
Reports indicate that Fed Policy is expected to stay much the same as
it was under its previous chairman. FOMC approved an additional $10
billion reduction in asset purchases designed to keep long term interest
rates low.
The Fed will now purchase $55 billion monthly in mortgage-backed
securities and treasury bonds as compared to its original level of $85
billion monthly.
Wall Street did not respond well to FOMC’s revised projections for
short-term interest rates, which were revised from 1.75 percent by the
end of 2016 to a possible short-term rate of 2.25 percent.
FOMC removed the benchmark 6.50 percent national unemployment rate
for raising the federal funds rate, which is currently 0.250 percent.
Instead, the Fed will review a wide range of economic indicators before
changing monetary policy.
Janet Yellen, in her first press conference as fed chair, said that
the Fed may consider rising short-term interest rates a few months
before its original target of October to December of 2015.
Mortgage Rates Drop
Mortgage rates dropped last week according to Freddie Mac. Average
mortgage rates fell from 4.37 percent to 4.32 percent for 30-year fixed
rate loans. Rates for 15-year mortgages dropped from 3.38 percent to
3.32 percent.
The average rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage fell from 3.09
percent to 3.02 percent. Discount points were unchanged at 0.60 percent
for fixed rate mortgages and 0.40 percent for 5/1 adjustable rate
mortgages.
What’s Ahead This Week
Scheduled economic reports for this week include the Case-Shiller and
FHFA Home Price Indexes for January. New Home Sales and Pending Home
Sales will also be released.